Odds For Each Character's Survival
I really think we are going to have a happy ending where everyone lives. JK, it's "The Walking Dead" get ready for some tears. Anyway here are realistic odds for everyones survival of Episode 5 (surviving for Season 3)
By the way, the odds are listed like if you were betting. So for example if a characters odds are 10-1 it means that for every dollar bet, the payoff is 10 dollars.
Mike ( 92 / 1 )
The ultimate underdog opens the list. My favorite character, as many might know, is a long shot here. In fact I am a little biased here giving him even the slightest of chance of surviving. Telltale, this is my challenge for you : Make Mike LIVE! I would be completely caught off guard. But in all seriousness, Mike aint gonna be walking as a human by the end of this. If you expect anything different, than you clearly don't understand this game.
Kenny (65 / 1)
Sorry for all the Kenny fans here but Kenny is not going to make it past this episode. Only reason he isn't as high as Mike is because he is Kenny and Telltale will keep him around till late in the episode and you never know. Possible his fate will go unknown again even.
Rebecca's Baby ( 9 / 1 )
A pretty heavy favorite here. While I can see something bad happening to the baby causing Kennys demise, in terms of survival I don't see Telltale "killing" a baby. Much like the TV show, I could see the babies fate also going unknown but I don't think Telltale will kill the baby and there fore : REBECCA'S BABY CONFIRMED FOR SEASON 3 ?!?! Probably not but it will live.
Bonnie ( 28 / 1)
Im actually giving Bonnie a decent chance at survival. Out of all the characters I am most unsure about Bonnie. I could easily see Bonnie surviving given the bond she has formed with Clem, however I don't think she is too crucial to the storyline where she has to live. Truth be told, she is very disposable, like Mike. She was a part of the 400 days crew and they are clearly not making a return so I could see Telltale just eliminating them all for the sake of the story.
Luke (40 / 1 )
Luke is in my opinion also a dead man walking. . . Realistically, we can all agree he has a much higher chance than Kenny of surviving but with every member of his crew dying he could be mentally weak. Im sure him and Kenny will continue bickering. And above all, like I said, this is "The Walking Dead" there are no such things as happy endings. Having Luke survive would have a slightly happy ending which is a huge no-no in Walking Dead world.
Russian Group (excluding Arvo) ( 97 / 1 )
Introducing bad guys this late into the season is never a good sign for the bad guys. Once again, their fate may go undetermined but I find it really hard how this gun fight that opens up Episode 5 ends without everyone of them dead.
Arvo Was 
30 / 1 ) Now: (55-1)
Ok so I didn't know that Arvo WASNT in the comics, so I am bumping him down a bit. Realistically speaking, his leg is going to be hard to overcome when in a hectic situation. Assuming his russian friends die, I don't think anyone in Clems group will be willing to help him survive after what he did. So, see ya Arvo.
Clem ( 4 / 7 )
Only way Clem isn't out of this episode alive is if Telltale decides to discontinue the storyline into Season 3 which as others have said just wouldn't make sense. Think about it? Imagine Clem dying in Episode 5? I can't picture a way in which Clementine dies and I am still interested. If Clem dies, I feel like I just wasted 50 dollars through seasons 1 and 2. If Telltale does end Clems storyline it will much likely be through an unknown fate/ semi-happy ending ** cough cough Christa ** **
So there are the odds. I find them being pretty realistic as I am not partial to any character. I am not a Kenny fan or a Luke fan. Ok, I like Mike but it doesn't take a guinness to figure out his time is coming to an end.
Anyhow, share your thoughts. these aren't final odds if someone can sway me differently I will be more than happy to change them.
Finally, If you had 100 $ who would you bet on to live through Season 2 ? (Note: Don't bet on Clem.)
Comments
I would pick Clem, and Maybe Kenny and/or the baby, I can imagine a Kenny/Luke choice but I don't think that would be the best thing to do and for the baby, I can imagine it dying to affect the group or if they (whoevers left) see chriata then she could take care of it...
I believe that everyone died and the only characters that survive are Clementine and Rebecca's baby. You see at the end they all had a shoot out so all of them 'Kenny, Luke, Bonnie,Arvo, Mike, Rebecca (was shot)' you see Clementine would not have been shot because the Russian bandits were not aiming at Clementine and she was small to be hit by the flying bullets firing at each other. I believe the only characters that we will see in E5 are Clementine and Rebecca's baby, it will be sad to see the whole group are dead that you grown so attached to including your long lost friend kenny. But now the last episode will show the full stentgh and survival of little Clementine and protecting the baby, I do hope that both of them will survive and gets rescued at the end It will feel so bad if they kill of Clementine.
Arvo is not in the comics, but I'm still giving him a mildly high survival rate.
Ahh my bad. Thought he was. Changes my verdict.
Percentage is based on how likely they are to survive the season.
Kenny - 0% killed in shootout
Luke - 0% killed in shootout
Bonnie -0% killed in shootout
Mike - 0% killed in shootout
Arvo - 0% killed in shootout
Arvo's Men - 0% killed in shootout
Rebecca - DEAD
Clementine - Survived
Baby (Rebecca's) - Survived
At the end of episode 5 i can't predict Clementine's fate but i hope both of them survive and I am hoping they do not kill of Clementine and have a emotional ending like the baby and Clementine gets rescued but it's to late so she dies because she was bitten or becomes very sick.
Those are a little high . . .No way Kenny AND Luke survive and you are saying that is a likely scenario.